The light of America's promise will burn brightas long as we never give up and we keep fighting.--Vice President Kamala Harris
Dare to be a Daniel,Dare to stand alone,Dare to hold a purpose firm,Dare to make it known.
A gay man's view of the world from down Texas way
C I V I L M A R R I A G E I S A C I V I L R I G H T.A N D N O W I T ' S T H E L A W O F T H E L A N D.
The light of America's promise will burn brightas long as we never give up and we keep fighting.--Vice President Kamala Harris
Dare to be a Daniel,Dare to stand alone,Dare to hold a purpose firm,Dare to make it known.
Your Head Trucker swore off broadcast television thirty years ago, so I never saw this reunion special with Andy and company that was made in 2003. But I'm enjoying it now - maybe you will, too.
The Mayberry Special departs at 7 o'clock on Track 1. I've got my Pullman ticket in hand. Who else wants to go?
Bonus: Marina Coates from Mockingbird Lane Design has done a brilliant job of portraying the Taylor home in 3-D. Check it out:
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Once again, I have no words.
From a distance, we all have enoughAnd no one is in needAnd there are no guns, no bombs, and no diseaseNo hungry mouths to feed . . .
My grace is sufficient for thee; for my strength is made perfect in weakness.
Illustration of the Great Sphinx from worldhistory.org Click to enlarge. |
Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
Surely some revelation is at hand;
Surely the Second Coming is at hand.
The Second Coming! Hardly are those words out
When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi
Troubles my sight: somewhere in sands of the desert
A shape with lion body and the head of a man,
A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,
Is moving its slow thighs, while all about it
Reel shadows of the indignant desert birds.
The darkness drops again; but now I know
That twenty centuries of stony sleep
Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?
--William Butler Yeats
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After great pain, a formal feeling comes –
The Nerves sit ceremonious, like Tombs –
The stiff Heart questions ‘was it He, that bore,’
And ‘Yesterday, or Centuries before’?
The Feet, mechanical, go round –
A Wooden way
Of Ground, or Air, or Ought –
Regardless grown,
A Quartz contentment, like a stone –
This is the Hour of Lead –
Remembered, if outlived,
As Freezing persons, recollect the Snow –
First – Chill – then Stupor – then the letting go –
--Emily Dickinson
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Use the ABC-538 interactive election map here. Click to enlarge this screen shot. |
Large numbers of surveys would be expected to show a wider variety of opinion, even in a close election, due to the randomness inherent in polling. The absence of such variation suggests that either pollsters are adjusting “weird” margins of 5% or more, Clinton and Lapinski argued – or the following second possibility, which they deemed more likely.“Some of the tools pollsters are using in 2024 to address the polling problems of 2020, such as weighting by partisanship, past vote or other factors, may be flattening out the differences and reducing the variation in reported poll results,” they write.Either explanation “raises the possibility that the results of the election could be unexpectedly different than the razor-close narrative the cluster of state polls and the polling averages suggest”, they added.
Look how steady their popular vote numbers are - I never recall seeing any poll in any election that looked like this for months at a time. |
And here's their probability forecast - more variation but still awfully damn close. |
Click to enlarge. |